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Sweden in Numbers
79 days left until the 2026 election

Poll of Polls

How would Sweden vote if the election were held today? Together with the Swedish National Election Studies Program at the University of Gothenburg, we combine the most reliable opinion polls.

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The Blocs

Red-Green

53.6%

▲ 3.7 pp since election

6.4%

▼ 1.2

C

6.8%

▲ 1.3

MP

31.9%

▲ 2.6

S

8.6%

▲ 1.0

V

Tidö

44.4%

▼ 4.7 pp since election

19.5%

▼ 0.9

SD

16.7%

▼ 1.0

M

6.2%

▲ 0.3

KD

1.9%

▼ 3.1

L

Jun 14, 2026

Sep 7, 2022

Jun 14, 2026

Hypothetical Coalitions

Seat allocation based on the latest weighted average

Majority 175

S + V + MP + C

195 seats

S + V + MP + C + L

195 seats

S + KD + C + MP

186 seats

M + S

177 seats

S + V + MP

172 seats

L + C + S + MP

164 seats

S + KD + C

161 seats

M + SD + KD + L

154 seats

M + KD + SD

154 seats

M + SD

132 seats

M + L + C + KD + MP

131 seats

M + L + C + KD

106 seats

Latest polls

PollsterDate (fieldwork)PublishedFieldwork
V
V
S
S
MP
MP
C
C
L
L
KD
KD
M
M
SD
SD
Sentio14 Jun22 Jun11 Jun–18 Jun8.030.28.66.32.15.316.821.5
Demoskop11 Jun23 Jun5 Jun–17 Jun7.631.37.66.22.96.516.319.4
Indikator11 Jun24 Jun1 Jun–21 Jun7.832.56.37.01.76.117.719.2
Ipsos8 Jun16 Jun2 Jun–14 Jun10.031.07.06.01.06.017.019.0
Novus7 Jun17 Jun1 Jun–14 Jun8.932.66.46.12.25.616.620.0
Sifo31 May13 Jun25 May–7 Jun8.731.67.85.42.06.017.118.9
Demoskop20 May28 May17 May–24 May7.631.98.16.03.15.716.719.0
Ipsos18 May26 May12 May–25 May8.032.06.06.02.05.019.020.0
Sentio16 May26 May14 May–18 May8.132.47.55.72.35.014.622.6
Indikator14 May27 May4 May–24 May7.833.76.16.32.04.317.520.4
SCB13 May4 Jun28 Apr–28 May8.633.96.66.12.54.517.318.3
Novus10 May20 May4 May–17 May8.830.97.16.02.45.618.219.2

Methodology & sources

Poll of Polls is a weighted combination of opinion polls from Sifo, Demoskop, Novus, and Ipsos. Statistics Sweden's biannual party sympathy survey (SCB/PSU) is also included. These polls are comparable because they all pose a similar question: if there were a parliamentary election today, which party would you vote for?

More recent polls are weighted more heavily than older ones, and polls with larger sample sizes carry more weight. The sensitivity is calibrated for sufficient smoothness — a single surprising result should not cause drastic shifts in the average.

The collaboration between Datastory and the Swedish National Election Studies Program at the University of Gothenburg has been made possible with funding from the Riksbankens Jubileumsfond.

SwedishPolls

Source for individual polls (GitHub)

See who contributes to the data collection